Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.156719 1.316799 1.491102 1.695013 1.927075 2.183027 2.486858
2025-11-30 0.896344 1.110774 1.364668 1.687604 2.087750 2.567756 3.188085
2025-12-07 0.738551 0.970668 1.261939 1.654572 2.170703 2.827088 3.727113
2025-12-14 0.622284 0.858109 1.168413 1.607063 2.212279 3.019688 4.181922
2025-12-21 0.543906 0.781923 1.108263 1.589014 2.280795 3.242880 4.687578
2025-12-28 0.503315 0.751131 1.103691 1.642688 2.448160 3.611065 5.425103
2026-01-04 0.449102 0.693388 1.052789 1.621101 2.500109 3.813162 5.933771
2026-01-11 0.419087 0.667796 1.045297 1.661258 2.644952 4.161727 6.691866
2026-01-18 0.385120 0.632006 1.017802 1.666009 2.732611 4.426671 7.339293
2026-01-25 0.350002 0.590488 0.976703 1.643744 2.772650 4.616368 7.877908
2026-02-01 0.316349 0.547869 0.929428 1.605850 2.781547 4.753094 8.336266
2026-02-08 0.290262 0.515407 0.895737 1.586993 2.819453 4.939040 8.892093
2026-02-15 0.268362 0.490603 0.876994 1.599988 2.927911 5.280014 9.801171
2026-02-22 0.244624 0.460523 0.846939 1.591496 3.000635 5.571975 10.667579
2026-03-01 0.220755 0.427331 0.807391 1.560399 3.026738 5.779262 11.394584
2026-03-08 0.198077 0.393778 0.763434 1.515615 3.020825 5.923877 12.013232
2026-03-15 0.181436 0.370074 0.735550 1.498601 3.066285 6.169931 12.857293
2026-03-22 0.174095 0.364090 0.741413 1.549196 3.251916 6.709979 14.358936
2026-03-29 0.160004 0.342707 0.714218 1.528848 3.288645 6.950869 15.257243
2026-04-05 0.152942 0.335315 0.714817 1.566700 3.451680 7.469175 16.808044
2026-04-12 0.143419 0.321593 0.700704 1.571178 3.542446 7.841812 18.076057
2026-04-19 0.132608 0.303889 0.676265 1.550191 3.574150 8.088026 19.082871
2026-04-26 0.121645 0.284709 0.646697 1.514472 3.568394 8.249382 19.908853